Saturday, February 7, 2009

A Great Investment Decision-CFD Trading

Today the CFD Market makes for one of the best investment decisions an investor or trader can make. With the trillions of dollars daily being exchanged on the CFD market today’s trader has no problems with liquidity issues. Having seen the meltdown of many equities markets in the past 12 months this has also helped see many new CFD Traders emerging. The CFD market almost never sleeps, which means that the trader can get in and out with ease and without fear of a company collapsing.

So here are 4 reasons why you too should be investing in the CFD Market.

1. Almost anyone can start trading in the CFD market as the minimal capital requirement with many Best CFD Broker is around $100, despite popular belief that you need large amounts of capital. As long as you follow the correct trading principles you can start making income from your capital.

2. The CFD market is massive, there is trillions of dollars being traded every day, so you don’t have to worry about being able to exit a trade, unlike what has happened in recent times with stocks.

3. Larger volatility. CFD is the most volatile market in the world. What this means? The ability to make large profits every single day, as it does move extremely quickly!

4. Ability to make money even in times of a recession. Unlike stocks which are very hard to profit from during recessions, you can profit no matter which way the market goes. As you have the ability to be able to long or short on the CFD Market. While once the stock market melts, it can be difficult to make profits in these markets. Now you have the reasons to start trading the CFD Market, now what you need to do is educate yourself so that you can benefit from this amazing market. A great place to start to learn more about the CFD Market is with the CFD FX REPORT, they offer a host of educational lessons and can help you find the best CFD Broker in the market to start trading with.

You never know this maybe the article that gets you started on the greatest market in the world.

About the Author:

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Forex Trading Tips and Education

One of the most respected Forex Traders is W D Gann he is the man that perfected the craft of Forex trading, which makes him one of the most famous Forex Traders of all time. So what was his approach that has made him a master of Forex Trading? He was known for his amazing tactics, and how he would deal with the trend.
W D Gann was an employed technical trader of a team that draws charts for lots of various commodities. He was very detailed in in approach for looking for patterns of the charts and especially when he trading for foreign exchange opportunities. One of W D Gann theories was that the Forex market was cyclical and that history would repeat itself in the long run.
W D Gann was a firm believer that the market price movements happened when time and price converge together. This would indicate that there is an important change in Forex trend and the traders can trade to gain better profits from understanding this theory.
So this also meant on the flip side that if the time and price does not converge, then it is not a good time to trade in the Forex market.
So as a fellow Forex Trader what you can take from these great insights from a legendary trader is that they must accept the weak points and overcome them. Once you have accepted the weaker points, this can then allow you to develop some great Forex trading methods that you can follow and go on with when trading. By doing this, you can therefore improve your overall trading performance since you have already know how to deal with your weak points.
It is therefore crucial that you have developed your own methods especially in dealing with the changing trend in the Forex market. Doing this will help you gain more profit potentials and have an edge over the other Forex traders.
All of this is part of the learning curve of becoming a great Forex trader, remember to become a great Forex trader it takes a lot of education and knowledge.
For further trading education lessons feel free to visit the CFD FX REPORT, they offer free education lessons, and can also help you find the best Forex Broker in the market.
About the Author:
The CFD FX REPORT is a real time trading tool that offers clients free trading reports, with trading ideas, stock market and forex market education as well helping them with. Also if you are looking for a Forex Broker, then feel free to visit our broker section as we recently reviewed all the forex brokers and have found the best on the market.

Efforts to reverse growth recession

The measures taken by the UPA government and the Reserve Bank for arresting the recessionary trend have not yielded the desired results so far, as recessionary trends in the U.S., Britain, European Union and elsewhere have deepened. The steps taken by developed countries to revive their economies also have not borne fruit till now.

The new U.S. President Barack Obama is keen to stimulate the country’s economy and a relief package of $819 billion has been approved by the House of Representatives.

It is claimed that this package will be helpful in creating three million jobs in a few years. While it is expected that the relief packages formulated by various countries will have a favourable impact on the economies, the International Monetary Fund has lowered the growth of the world economy to 0.2 per cent in the current fiscal.

Industrial downtrend

It is against this background that the Indian economy has to bring about a reversal of the trends in industrial production noticed in October as well as the developments on the foreign trade front in October-November. The government is not in a position to grant fresh tax concessions or incur additional expenditure under various heads.

It has already announced numerous tax concessions and will be stepping up Plan outlay significantly. Non-Plan expenditure too will be increasing sizably leading to a big increase in revenue and fiscal deficits.

Parliament will be having its lame duck session this month. This is being convened only to secure votes on account after the presentation of the Railway and Interim Budgets for 2009-10. There will be no related budget proposals. Further concessions therefore cannot be granted by the present government. Indeed the revised budget estimates for 2008-09 will be carefully scrutinised by economic experts and others to determine how the substantial additional expenditure will favourably impact economic growth.

The monetary authorities also appear to be thinking along similar lines as in their latest exercise the three key rates have remained unchanged. The liberal refinance facilities extended to banks (excluding RRBs), non-banking financial companies, mutual funds and housing finance companies will of course be available till September end. A careful watch will be maintained on the emerging trends and appropriate decisions may be taken in the light of these trends.

Banks have liquidity

Liquidity in the banking system also is adequate in spite of a continuing outflow of forex funds. Foreign exchange assets have declined by $53 billion this fiscal up to January 16. The absence of any tightening in the money market is obviously due to the substantial release of immobilised funds by RBI and a satisfactory growth in bank deposits.

The banking system has ample funds at its disposal and bank managements should endeavour to extend credit liberally at lower rates.

Luckily for the government, the agriculture sector will be reporting good performance in the 2008-09 agricultural season, with foodgrains output rising to 233 million tonnes if not 235 million tonnes thanks to record wheat and rice crops.

Lower oil bill next year

The contribution of the services sector also may be slightly lower than in 2007-08, whatever be the actual growth in GDP, which may not be less than 6.5 per cent and may be even 7.5 per cent, according to Commerce and Industry Minister Kamal Nath. Inflationary pressures will be definitely under control as there has been a fresh cut in prices for three controlled petro products including LPG. There may be further lowering of these prices in the coming weeks. On present indications crude prices may be fluctuating around $45 a barrel until there are indications of a pick up in economic activity in developed countries.

In any event the Indian economy stands to benefit substantially as the outgo on the oil bill may be less than $70 billion in 2009-10.

With non-oil imports too likely to be cheaper, the trade deficit can contract significantly. If developments in this regard materialise and there is a reversal of the outflow of forex resources, the rupee may tend to appreciate against major currencies.

The Indian currency is now at a low level of 49 to a dollar as compared to the appreciated rate of 39.26 in October 2007. The new government after the election will thus be in a position to take important decisions for reviving the economy and lowering interest rates further. As stated earlier, the downtrend in foreign exchange assets may get reversed with an improved outlook for the economy.

Forex Broker- Are you using the Best

Forex Broker are massive business they all make statements that they will make you gains but the fact is they most lose your money. So if you want to find a WINNING BROKER here are 4 tips enclosed.

Let’s start with the most obvious question to ask of any Forex Broker

1. What is the Track Record is it Real or a Back Test Simulated?

Most Forex Broker have never made any money and rely on past result simulations on paper and of course this is easy, they are hindsight traders! Others present what they claim are real track records but these track records are not independently verified, so just forget about them and keep looking around.

So only go with truly tested independent audited results. If you do check this it will eliminate over 95% of them.

2. What is the history of the designer or Broker?

This will give you a good insight to the reliability. If you are going with a program be aware or beware that most are not designed by traders, and they don’t at times have the real understanding of the markets.

3. Do they disclose all the rules?

If it is a black box system, don’t bother, if they are so good would someone really sell it? If you have a great money making guaranteed machine would you sell it online or would you just keep raising the stakes and make all the money yourself. Guess how most black box makers make their money, you guessed it selling it. Not from the Market. IF you are looking for a great Broker feel free to visit the CFD FX REPORTthey have recently researched all the brokers and have found what they believe to be the best. If you are looking for extra educational lessons they have a lot for you to learn from.

4. What support is on offer?

Before getting involved ask what support you are given. It is real time, is it quick and honest.

Foreign Exchange Market

The foreign exchange (currency or forex or FX) market exists wherever one currency is traded for another. It is by far the largest financial market in the world, and includes trading between large banks, central banks, currency speculators, multinational corporations, governments, and other financial markets and institutions. The average daily trade in the global forex and related markets currently is over US$ 3 trillion.[1] Retail traders (individuals) are a small fraction of this market and may only participate indirectly through brokers or banks, and are subject to forex scams[2] [3

Market Size and Liquidity

The foreign exchange market is unique because of

  • its trading volumes,
  • the extreme liquidity of the market,
  • the large number of, and variety of, traders in the market,
  • its geographical dispersion,
  • its long trading hours: 24 hours a day (except on weekends),
  • the variety of factors that affect exchange rates.
  • the low margins of profit compared with other markets of fixed income (but profits can be high due to very large trading volumes)

According to the BIS,[1] average daily turnover in traditional foreign exchange markets is estimated at $3.21 trillion. Daily averages in April for different years, in billions of US dollars, are presented on the chart below:

This $3.21 trillion in global foreign exchange market "traditional" turnover was broken down as follows:

In addition to "traditional" turnover, $2.1 trillion was traded in derivatives.

Exchange-traded forex futures contracts were introduced in 1972 at the Chicago Mercantile Exchange and are actively traded relative to most other futures contracts. Forex futures volume has grown rapidly in recent years, and accounts for about 7% of the total foreign exchange market volume, according to The Wall Street Journal Europe (5/5/06, p. 20).

Average daily global turnover in traditional foreign exchange market transactions totaled $2.7 trillion in April 2006 according to IFSL estimates based on semi-annual London, New York, Tokyo and Singapore Foreign Exchange Committee data. Overall turnover, including non-traditional foreign exchange derivatives and products traded on exchanges, averaged around $2.9 trillion a day. This was more than ten times the size of the combined daily turnover on all the world’s equity markets. Foreign exchange trading increased by 38% between April 2005 and April 2006 and has more than doubled since 2001. This is largely due to the growing importance of foreign exchange as an asset class and an increase in fund management assets, particularly of hedge funds and pension funds. The diverse selection of execution venues such as internet trading platforms has also made it easier for retail traders to trade in the foreign exchange market. [4]

Because foreign exchange is an OTC market where brokers/dealers negotiate directly with one another, there is no central exchange or clearing house. The biggest geographic trading centre is the UK, primarily London, which according to IFSL estimates has increased its share of global turnover in traditional transactions from 31.3% in April 2004 to 32.4% in April 2006. RPP

The ten most active traders account for almost 73% of trading volume, according to The Wall Street Journal Europe, (2/9/06 p. 20). These large international banks continually provide the market with both bid (buy) and ask (sell) prices. The bid/ask spread is the difference between the price at which a bank or market maker will sell ("ask", or "offer") and the price at which a market-maker will buy ("bid") from a wholesale customer. This spread is minimal for actively traded pairs of currencies, usually 0–3 pips. For example, the bid/ask quote of EUR/USD might be 1.2200/1.2203. Minimum trading size for most deals is usually $100,000.

These spreads might not apply to retail customers at banks, which will routinely mark up the difference to say 1.2100 / 1.2300 for transfers, or say 1.2000 / 1.2400 for banknotes or travelers' checks. Spot prices at market makers vary, but on EUR/USD are usually no more than 3 pips wide (i.e. 0.0003). Competition has greatly increased with pip spreads shrinking on the major pairs to as little as 1 to 2 pips.

Financial Instruments

Spot

A spot transaction is a two-day delivery transaction, as opposed to the futures contracts, which are usually three months. This trade represents a “direct exchange” between two currencies, has the shortest time frame, involves cash rather than a contract; and interest is not included in the agreed-upon transaction. The data for this study come from the spot market. Spot has the largest share by volume in FX transactions among all instruments.

Forward

One way to deal with the Forex risk is to engage in a forward transaction. In this transaction, money does not actually change hands until some agreed upon future date. A buyer and seller agree on an exchange rate for any date in the future, and the transaction occurs on that date, regardless of what the market rates are then. The duration of the trade can be a few days, months or years.

Future

Main article: Currency future

Foreign currency futures are forward transactions with standard contract sizes and maturity dates — for example, 500,000 British pounds for next November at an agreed rate. Futures are standardized and are usually traded on an exchange created for this purpose. The average contract length is roughly 3 months. Futures contracts are usually inclusive of any interest amounts.

Swap

Main article: Forex swap

The most common type of forward transaction is the currency swap. In a swap, two parties exchange currencies for a certain length of time and agree to reverse the transaction at a later date. These are not standardized contracts and are not traded through an exchange.

Option

A foreign exchange option (commonly shortened to just FX option) is a derivative where the owner has the right but not the obligation to exchange money denominated in one currency into another currency at a pre-agreed exchange rate on a specified date. The FX options market is the deepest, largest and most liquid market for options of any kind in the world.

Exchange Traded Fund

Main article: Exchange-traded fund

Exchange-traded funds (or ETFs) are Open Ended investment companies that can be traded at any time throughout the course of the day. Typically, ETFs try to replicate a stock market index such as the S&P 500 (e.g. SPY), but recently they are now replicating investments in the currency markets with the ETF increasing in value when the US Dollar weakness versus a specific currency, such as the Euro. Certain of these funds track the price movements of world currencies versus the US Dollar, and increase in value directly counter to the US Dollar, allowing for speculation in the US Dollar for US and US Dollar denominated investors and speculators.

Algorithmic trading in forex

Electronic trading is growing in the FX market, and algorithmic trading is becoming much more common. There is much confusion about the technique. According to financial consultancy Celent estimates, by 2008 up to 25% of all trades by volume will be executed using algorithm, up from about 18% in 2005.

Speculation

Controversy about currency speculators and their effect on currency devaluations and national economies recurs regularly. Nevertheless, many economists (e.g. Milton Friedman) have argued that speculators perform the important function of providing a market for hedgers and transferring risk from those people who don't wish to bear it, to those who do. Other economists (e.g. Joseph Stiglitz) however, may consider this argument to be based more on politics and a free market philosophy than on economics.

Large hedge funds and other well capitalized "position traders" are the main professional speculators.

Currency speculation is considered a highly suspect activity in many countries. While investment in traditional financial instruments like bonds or stocks often is considered to contribute positively to economic growth by providing capital, currency speculation does not, according to this view; it is simply gambling, that often interferes with economic policy. For example, in 1992, currency speculation forced the Central Bank of Sweden to raise interest rates for a few days to 150% per annum, and later to devalue the krona. Former Malaysian Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad is one well known proponent of this view. He blamed the devaluation of the Malaysian ringgit in 1997 on George Soros and other speculators.[9]

Gregory Millman reports on an opposing view, comparing speculators to "vigilantes" who simply help "enforce" international agreements and anticipate the effects of basic economic "laws" in order to profit.

In this view, countries may develop unsustainable financial bubbles or otherwise mishandle their national economies, and forex speculators made the inevitable collapse happen sooner. A relatively quick collapse might even be preferable to continued economic mishandling. Mahathir Mohamad and other critics of speculation are viewed as trying to deflect the blame from themselves for having caused the unsustainable economic conditions. Given that Malaysia recovered quickly after imposing currency controls directly against IMF advice, this view is open to doubt.

Market Participants

Top 10 Currency Traders % of overall volume, May 2007
Source: Euromoney FX survey[5]
Rank Name % of volume
1 Deutsche Bank 19.30
2 UBS AG 14.85
3 Citi 9.00
4 Royal Bank of Scotland 8.90
5 Barclays Capital 8.80
6 Bank of America 5.29
7 HSBC 4.36
8 Goldman Sachs 4.14
9 JPMorgan 3.33
10 Morgan Stanley 2.86


Unlike a stock market, where all participants have access to the same prices, the forex market is divided into levels of access. At the top is the inter-bank market, which is made up of the largest investment banking firms. Within the inter-bank market, spreads, which are the difference between the bid and ask prices, are razor sharp and usually unavailable, and not known to players outside the inner circle. As you descend the levels of access, the difference between the bid and ask prices widens (from 0-1 pip to 1-2 pips only for major currencies like the Euro). This is due to volume. If a trader can guarantee large numbers of transactions for large amounts, they can demand a smaller difference between the bid and ask price, which is referred to as a better spread. The levels of access that make up the forex market are determined by the size of the “line” (the amount of money with which they are trading). The top-tier inter-bank market accounts for 53% of all transactions. After that there are usually smaller investment banks, followed by large multi-national corporations (which need to hedge risk and pay employees in different countries), large hedge funds, and even some of the retail forex market makers. According to Galati and Melvin, “Pension funds, insurance companies, mutual funds, and other institutional investors have played an increasingly important role in financial markets in general, and in FX markets in particular, since the early 2000s.” (2004) In addition, he notes, “Hedge funds have grown markedly over the 2001–2004 period in terms of both number and overall size” Central banks also participate in the forex market to align currencies to their economic needs.

Banks

The interbank market caters for both the majority of commercial turnover and large amounts of speculative trading every day. A large bank may trade billions of dollars daily. Some of this trading is undertaken on behalf of customers, but much is conducted by proprietary desks, trading for the bank's own account.

Until recently, foreign exchange brokers did large amounts of business, facilitating interbank trading and matching anonymous counterparts for small fees. Today, however, much of this business has moved on to more efficient electronic systems. The broker squawk box lets traders listen in on ongoing interbank trading and is heard in most trading rooms, but turnover is noticeably smaller than just a few years ago.

Commercial companies

An important part of this market comes from the financial activities of companies seeking foreign exchange to pay for goods or services. Commercial companies often trade fairly small amounts compared to those of banks or speculators, and their trades often have little short term impact on market rates. Nevertheless, trade flows are an important factor in the long-term direction of a currency's exchange rate. Some multinational companies can have an unpredictable impact when very large positions are covered due to exposures that are not widely known by other market participants.

Central banks

National central banks play an important role in the foreign exchange markets. They try to control the money supply, inflation, and/or interest rates and often have official or unofficial target rates for their currencies. They can use their often substantial foreign exchange reserves to stabilize the market. Milton Friedman argued that the best stabilization strategy would be for central banks to buy when the exchange rate is too low, and to sell when the rate is too high — that is, to trade for a profit based on their more precise information. Nevertheless, the effectiveness of central bank "stabilizing speculation" is doubtful because central banks do not go bankrupt if they make large losses, like other traders would, and there is no convincing evidence that they do make a profit trading.

The mere expectation or rumor of central bank intervention might be enough to stabilize a currency, but aggressive intervention might be used several times each year in countries with a dirty float currency regime. Central banks do not always achieve their objectives. The combined resources of the market can easily overwhelm any central bank. Several scenarios of this nature were seen in the 1992–93 ERM collapse, and in more recent times in Southeast Asia.

Investment management firms

Investment management firms (who typically manage large accounts on behalf of customers such as pension funds and endowments) use the foreign exchange market to facilitate transactions in foreign securities. For example, an investment manager with an international equity portfolio will need to buy and sell foreign currencies in the spot market in order to pay for purchases of foreign equities. Since the forex transactions are secondary to the actual investment decision, they are not seen as speculative or aimed at profit-maximization.

Some investment management firms also have more speculative specialist currency overlay operations, which manage clients' currency exposures with the aim of generating profits as well as limiting risk. Whilst the number of this type of specialist firms is quite small, many have a large value of assets under management (AUM), and hence can generate large trades.

Hedge funds

Hedge funds, such as George Soros's Quantum fund have gained a reputation for aggressive currency speculation since 1990. They control billions of dollars of equity and may borrow billions more, and thus may overwhelm intervention by central banks to support almost any currency, if the economic fundamentals are in the hedge funds' favor.

Retail forex brokers

Retail forex brokers or market makers handle a minute fraction of the total volume of the foreign exchange market. According to CNN, one retail broker estimates retail volume at $25–50 billion daily, which is about 2% of the whole market and it has been reported by the CFTC website that inexperienced investors may become targets of forex scams.